There have been certain changes in trends and offseasons that can help or hinder a team’s progress. You need to assess the NFL over/under totals and have a look at the trends and offseason changes to have an insight into the game.
For the upcoming season, a club that has struggled down the stretch in the previous campaign may have done enough to fix the issues. On the other hand, there are chances that the year can get rough due to the roster departures and inexperience of new coaches, especially for squads with rookies in key positions.
But keep the 17 game schedule in mind while betting on the NFL. Last year’s record of 9-7 landed between 9-8 and 10-7. It simply paves the way for a 10 win season as it doesn’t seem challenging for a solid squad in the playoff mix.
We have picked some of the NFL’s best bets and also listed reasons to take over or under for each team. Here’s how to analyze NFL best bets in 2021.
NFL best bets
Have a quick peep into the NFL best bets, as this will give you an insight into the match and help you bet.
Houston Texans: under 4.5 wins
There’s a lot of uncertainty for the Houston Texans at quarterback. With 22 lawsuits filed against women alleging sexual assault and misconduct, Deshaun Watson’s future remains in doubt. The Texans’ take on this is to allow the legal process to play out. Before the offseason, it was reported that Watson had requested a trade. Consequently, even if he is available for the 2021 season, do not expect him to be in a Texans uniform.
Tyrod Taylor works as a game manager and has averaged 218 passing yards in each season. Not only this, but he also acts as a full-time starter for the Buffalo Bills. He has not recorded more than 20 passing touchdowns in a single season. Despite lacking playing experience because of a knee injury, Mills draws some intrigue. It was a bad time for the Texans when they parted ways with the most accomplished defensive players.
Houston also started a fresh chapter with new general manager Nick Caserio and head coach David Colley in addition to major question marks on both sides of the ball. Consequently, while the team redefines its vision for the future, we should expect to see growing pains. It is projected that Houston will go against the NFC West as it is the league’s best division with records of .500 or more than that last year.
Kansas City Chiefs: Over 12.5 wins
In a rare season with quarterback Patrick Mahomes as a full starter, the Kansas City Chiefs have not lost above four games in a single season. Not only this, but they have also won 12 games in the past three campaigns. 13-4 seems like the floor for a squad that has appeared in the consecutive super bowls owing to the best quarterback with an extra game on the schedule.
Taking two-time pro bowl tackle Orlando Brown Jr. and signing guard Joe Thuney as the chiefs updated the left side of their offensive line. There should be more time for the Mahomes to fight tight end Travis Kelce and Tyreek Hill. Last season, the Chiefs quietly fielded a top 10 scoring defense.
While permitting a 54.2 passer rating and one touchdown in coverage, L’Jarius recorded seven pass breakups and three interceptions. Moreover, Tyrann Mathieu has earned all the pro honors for the past two seasons. The Kansas City Chiefs may have scored shutouts with Los Angeles Chargers quarterback Justin Herbert within the AFC West division. If there is any squad that features stars on both sides of the hall, it is none other than the chiefs.
New Orleans Saints: Over 9 wins
If Drew Brees retired, it wouldn’t mean to remove the New Orleans Saints from the playoff bubble. Brees missed nine games over the past two seasons, but Saints did not miss a beat. The Saints went 8-1 without Brees throughout the 2019-2020 seasons with Teddy Bridgewater and Taysom Hill under center.
Over the last couple of years, Winston has a strong arm and can push the ball downfield. The Saints should have a potent defense with star-wideout Michael Thomas and Alvin Kamara as key pass-catchers, but only if the former cuts down on poor decisions leading to interceptions. Besides this, the Saints can also turn the offense back over to Hill if Winston isn’t efficient from the pocket as he was the one who went 3-1 as the starting quarterback in the 2020 season.
In last year’s top defense, New Orleans lost cornerback Janoris Jenkins through free agency. If this is the position, then Patrick Robinson could play a bigger role in this. On the other hand, Paulson Adebo recorded eight interceptions and 27 pass breakups between the sessions held at Stanford. If the league suspends the cornerback Marshon Lattimore after being charged with a stolen firearm, then there are chances that Paulson could see the field early.
New York Jets: Under 6.5 wins
Throwing for 3692 yards, 33 touchdowns, and three interceptions, gang green selected Zach Wilson coming off a stellar season. Despite playing multiple positions across the offensive line, Alijah Vera Tucker projects as a left guard. If the team releases Jamison Crowder, then Elijah Moore will be a crisp route runner playing many snaps. Michael Carter last year ran for 1245 yards and nine touchdowns at North Carolina.
With 16 stars, Blessuan Austin has the most experience in a leadership role among the team’s cornerbacks, but he has just eight pass breakups throughout the two seasons, and that too without an interception. In Contrast, Bryce Hall has seven starts on his career resume. The Jets will be playing the top two teams from the AFC South, the Indianapolis Colts and Tennessee Titans, in 2021.
Out of all the bets, these were by far the NFL best bets. Also, be watchful of the NFL daily picks before finalizing your bet.